Australia’s mid-season macadamia crop forecast has been sharply downgraded, as growers and processors manage one of the most difficult and unpredictable seasons in recent years. Continued weather-related disruptions mean the true extent of available supply is difficult to determine at this stage. As a result, the revised forecast now anticipates production will fall within a range of 37,300 to 41,970 tonnes in-shell at 3.5% moisture (40,000 to 45,000 tonnes in-shell at 10% moisture), down from the previous estimate of 55,960 tonnes in-shell at 3.5% moisture (60,000 tonnes in-shell at 10% moisture).
Growers in New South Wales are reporting their lowest crops in a decade, with a number still unable to access orchards due to extensive ongoing wet weather. In Queensland, growers are also seeing lower-than-expected yields, with wide variability across and within orchards. Processor intakes are expected to be well below their early season forecast.
“Despite the challenges, we’re still seeing high quality nut across the regions,” said Australian Macadamia Society CEO Clare Hamilton-Bate. “Even in a difficult season, our on-farm and post-harvest practices have allowed us to maintain high standards and deliver premium product to global markets.”
The 2025 mid-season crop forecast update is based on actual factory receipts of the Australian Macadamia Handlers Association (AMHA) to date and estimated production for non-members. The AMHA represents 90% of the macadamia crop in Australia. The final 2025 crop figure will be confirmed in December.
